Prenosljivost napovednega modela razširjenosti vrste Robinia pseudacacia v severovzhodni Sloveniji
DOI:
https://doi.org/10.3986/AGS.772Ključne besede:
geografija, invazivne vrste, pokrajinske značilnosti, model razširjenosti vrste, prenosljivost, PrekmurjePovzetek
Glavni namen raziskave je oceniti prenosljivost napovednega modela razširjenosti vrste (NMRV) Robinia pseudacacia na dve testni območji v Prekmurju v severovzhodni Sloveniji. Napovedno uspešnost NMRV na testnih območjih smo merili z 1) vizualnim ocenjevanjem, 2) matriko razvrstitev, 3) deležem pravilno napovedanih pozitivnih primerov, 4) maksimalno statistiko zanesljivosti (ang. True Skill Statistics ali TSS) in 5) analizo variance odvisnih vzorcev. Raziskava kaže, da je model ustrezno napovedal potencialno razširjenost vrste na tem območju, kar pomeni, da bo na podlagi napovedi za celotno regijo mogoče sprejemati zanesljive odločitve na področju ohranjanja narave. Poleg tega gre pri tem za pozitivni primer prenosa in razširitve NMRV znotraj iste regije.
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