National-scale water balance in Slovenia (1972–2024): Long-term trends and variability in water balance components

Peter Frantar; Frank Herrmann; Mišo Andjelov

doi:10.3986/AGS.14632

Avtorji

Peter Frantar Slovenian Environment Agency, Ljubljana, Slovenia; Faculty of Environmental Protection, Velenje, Slovenia https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0501-4930
Frank Herrmann Forschungszentrum Jülich, Agrosphere Institute (IBG-3), Jülich, Germany https://orcid.org/0000-0003-4939-0479
Mišo Andjelov Slovenian Environment Agency, Ljubljana, Slovenia https://orcid.org/0009-0009-4383-7939

DOI:

https://doi.org/10.3986/AGS.14632

Ključne besede:

hidrologija, modeliranje vodne bilance, mGROWA, podnebne spremembe, hidro-klimatološki kazalnik trendov, upravljanje vodnih virov, Slovenija

Povzetek

Podnebne spremembe spreminjajo hidrološke procese in razpoložljivost vode, kar zahteva robustne dolgoročne analize na podlagi konsistentnih podatkov in modelov. V članku so analizirane glavne komponente hidrološke vodne bilance – padavine, evapotranspiracija in odtok – v Sloveniji za obdobje 1972–2024. Analiza temelji na rezultatih verificiranega modela vodne bilance mGROWA za območje Slovenije. Cilj študije je prepoznati trende, ki bi lahko bili pomembni za upravljanje vodnih virov v spreminjajočem se podnebju. Ključna ugotovitev je, da se je evapotranspiracija v velikem delu države znatno povečala, vpliv tega povečanja pa je bil manjši zaradi nadpovprečnih padavin v zadnjih letih, zato se povečanje ni izrazilo v manjšem povprečnem odtoku. Avtorji predlagamo hidro-klimatološki kazalnik trendov kot element spremljanja vodnobilančnih komponent v Sloveniji.

Prenosi

Podatki o prenosih še niso na voljo.

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