Projections of future soil temperature in the western part of the Southeastern Anatolia Project region, Türkiye

İlyas Sadık Tekkanat

doi:10.3986/AGS.13831

Avtorji

İlyas Sadık Tekkanat Çankırı Karatekin University, Çankırı, Türkiye https://orcid.org/0000-0003-4338-684X

DOI:

https://doi.org/10.3986/AGS.13831

Ključne besede:

temperatura prsti, projekcija, STM2, projekt jugovzhodne Anatolije, Turčija

Povzetek

Temperatura prsti je ključna za rabo zemljišč in upravljanje tal. V raziskavah podnebnih sprememb postaja čedalje pomembnejša, saj odraža interakcije med ozračjem in biosfero. V članku so proučene spremembe v temperaturi tal v globinah 5, 10, 20, 50 in 100 cm v zahodnem delu območja projekta jugovzhodne Anatolije v Turčiji, ki ima sredozemsko in vroče polsuho podnebje, in sicer za obdobje 2030–2090 v primerjavi z obdobjem 1981–2010. Za oceno temperatur prsti je uporabljen model temperature in vlage prsti (STM²). Za 21. stoletje je napovedano zvišanje temperature za 0,7–3,0 °C (RCP4.5) in 0,9–5,5 °C (RCP8.5). Ekstremne temperature prsti v poletnih mesecih proti koncu stoletja bi lahko otežile načrtovanje pridelkov. Predstavljena raziskava podaja prve projekcije prihodnjih temperatur prsti na proučevanem območju in pomembna agroklimatska spoznanja.

Prenosi

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