Temperature-related Mortality in Belgrade in the Period 1888–2008

Branislav S. Djurdjev; Daniela Arsenović; Stevan Savić

doi:10.3986/AGS52205

Avtorji

Branislav S. Djurdjev
Daniela Arsenović
Stevan Savić

DOI:

https://doi.org/10.3986/AGS52205

Ključne besede:

geografija, stopnja umrljivosti, temperatura zraka, vpliv letnega časa, Beograd, Srbija

Povzetek

V članku smo uporabili podatke o temperaturi zraka in stopnji umrljivosti v Beogradu v obdobju od 1888 do 2008, da bi prikazali pričakovano soodvisnost. Osnovna statistična analiza pokaže statistično značilne vrednosti korelacij med temi parametri. Začetna predpostavka je bila, da so bili v preteklosti ljudje bolj občutljivi za izredno nizke temperature, zlasti v zimskem času. Statistični rezultati so potrdili to domnevo, še zlasti za čas pred 1. svetovno vojno. Rezultati nadaljnjih analiz pa so pokazali, da sta temperatura zraka in stopnja umrljivosti v zadnjih dvajsetih letih negativno povezani. Statistična analiza je namreč izpostavila, da stopnja umrljivosti v zadnjih dvajsetih letih hitreje narašča v poletnem obdobju zaradi vedno pogostejših pojavov ekstremnih temperatur zraka.

Prenosi

Podatki o prenosih še niso na voljo.

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