Assessing average annual air temperature trends using the Mann–Kendall test in Kosovo

Milivoj B. Gavrilov; Slobodan B. Marković; Natalija Janc; Milena Nikolić; Aleksandar Valjarević; Blaž Komac; Matija Zorn; Milan Punišić; Nikola Bačević

doi:10.3986/AGS.1309

Avtorji

Milivoj B. Gavrilov
Slobodan B. Marković
Natalija Janc
Milena Nikolić
Aleksandar Valjarević
Blaž Komac
Matija Zorn
Milan Punišić
Nikola Bačević

DOI:

https://doi.org/10.3986/AGS.1309

Ključne besede:

trendi temperatur zraka, podnebne spremembe, Mann-Kendallov test, Kosovo

Povzetek

V raziskavi so bili analizirani letni trendi povprečnih in ekstremnih mesečnih
temperatur zraka, izmerjenih na desetih meteoroloških postajah na Kosovu. Podatki se pri štirih postajah nanašajo na opazovalno obdobje 1949–1999, pri preostalih šestih postajah pa na opazovalno obdobje 1965–1999. Trendi so bili analizirani za devet časovnih nizov. Pozitivni trendi so bili ugotovljeni v šestih nizih, negativ ni pa v treh. Po oceni teh trendov z uporabo Mann-Kendallovega testa so bili pozitivni trendi potrjeni v štirih nizih, negativni trend je bil potrjen v enem nizu, v enem nizu trenda ni bilo, rahlo pozitiv ni trendi so bili potrjeni v dveh časovnih nizih in rahlo negativni v enem nizu.

Prenosi

Podatki o prenosih še niso na voljo.

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