Gospodarska rast na Balkanu: analiza gospodarske β-konvergence
DOI:
https://doi.org/10.3986/AGS.12797Ključne besede:
balkanske države, gospodarska rast, β-konvergenca, geografijaPovzetek
Balkanske države v tranziciji morajo za večjo konkurenčnost izboljšati svoja gospodarstva. Namen tega prispevka je analizirati gospodarsko rast s poudarkom na analizi ekonomske konvergence na Balkanu med letoma 1997 in 2020. Raziskava analizira gospodarstva naslednjih držav: Albanije, Bosne in Hercegovine, Bolgarije, Hrvaške, Grčije, Črne Gore, Severne Makedonije, Romunije, Srbije in Slovenije. Kot merilo gospodarske rasti je uporabljen bruto domači proizvod (BDP), analiza pa temelji na neoklasičnem modelu gospodarske rasti – tj. Solowovem konceptu konvergence. Rezultati kažejo, da je hitrost ekonomske konvergence balkanskih držav znašala 1,82 % v presečnem modelu in 7,87 % v modelu s panelnimi podatki. To pomeni, da so na začetku manj razvite države doživljale višjo gospodarsko rast kot bogatejše.
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