Entropija kot kazalnik demografske dinamike: študija primera prebivalstva Srbije

Avtorji

DOI:

https://doi.org/10.3986/AGS.11441

Ključne besede:

geografija, prebivalstvo, demografija, sistem, regija, prostorska ureditev

Povzetek

Avtorji v članku na podlagi Shannonovega modela entropije preučujejo dinamiko demografske reprodukcije prebivalstva Republike Srbije na ravni regij NUTS 3 med letoma 1961 in 2021. Na podlagi vrednosti absolutne in relativne entropije so določili težnje demografske dinamike, ki je eden najpomembnejših parametrov za oblikovanje optimalnega načrta prostorske ureditve in razporeditve prebivalstva. Avtorji so podali razlage in predstavili sklepne ugotovitve o homogenosti (ali heterogenosti) demografske dinamike in regionalne razčlenjenosti srbskega demografskega prostora.

Prenosi

Podatki o prenosih še niso na voljo.

Literatura

Aburto, J. M., Alvarez, J. A., Villavicencio, F., Vaupel, J. W. 2019: The threshold age of the lifetable entropy. Demographic Research 41. DOI: https://doi.org/10.4054/DemRes.2019.41.4 DOI: https://doi.org/10.4054/DemRes.2019.41.4

Bailey, K. D. 1990: Social entropy theory: An overview. Systems Practice 3. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/bf01063441 DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/BF01063441

Batty, M., Morphet, R., Masucci, P., Stanilov, K. 2014: Entropy, complexity, and spatial information. Journal of Geographical Systems 16. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/s10109.014-0202-2 DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/s10109-014-0202-2

Breznik, D. 1980: Demografija: analize, metodi i modeli. Beograd.

Cabral, P., Augusto, G., Tewolde, M., Araya, Y. 2013: Entropy in urban systems. Entropy 15. DOI: https://doi.org/10.3390/e15125223 DOI: https://doi.org/10.3390/e15125223

Cardona-Almeida, C., Obregón, N., Canales, F. A. 2019: An integrative dynamic model of Colombian population distribution, based on the maximum entropy principle and matter, energy, and information flow. Entropy 21. DOI: https://doi.org/10.3390/e21121172 DOI: https://doi.org/10.3390/e21121172

Costa-Cabanas, D., Chalub, F., Souza, M. 2022: Entropy and the arrow of time in population dynamics. Biosystems 223. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.biosystems.2022.104817 DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.biosystems.2022.104817

Czyż, T., Hauke J. 2015: Entropy in regional analysis. Quaestiones Geographicae 34-4. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1515/quageo-2015-0037 DOI: https://doi.org/10.1515/quageo-2015-0037

Damos, P. 2015: Bio-demographic aspects of population entropy in quantifying population heterogeneity and its consequences for population fitness and species adaptation. 2nd International Electronic Conference on Entropy and its Applications. DOI: https://doi.org/10.3390/ecea-2-D003 DOI: https://doi.org/10.3390/ecea-2-D003

Deka, J., Tripathi, O., Khan, M. 2010: Urban growth trend analysis using Shannon entropy

approach – A case study in North-East India. International Journal of Geomatics and Geosciences 2-4.

Djurkin, D., Antić, M., Budović, A. 2021: Demographic and economic aspects of urban shrinkage in Serbia: Typology and regional differentiation. Bulletin of the Serbian Geographical Society 101-2. DOI: https://doi.org/10.2298/GSGD2102043D DOI: https://doi.org/10.2298/GSGD2102043D

Graovac, M. V. 2021: Recent marriage and childbearing trends in Croatia and Slovenia: A comparative review. Acta geographica Slovenica 61-1. DOI: https://doi.org/10.3896/AGS.8596 DOI: https://doi.org/10.3986/AGS.8596

Grčić, M. 1990: Analiza prostorne organizacije industrije regiona Beograd. Beograd.

Hernando, A., Hernando, R., Plastino, A., Plastino, A. R. 2012: The workings of the maximum entropy principle in collective human behaviour. Journal of the Royal Society Interface 78. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1098/rsif.2012.0758 DOI: https://doi.org/10.1098/rsif.2012.0758

Javor, V. 2014: Tranzicija tipova kretanja stanovništva Vojvodine 1961–2011. Demografija 11.

Josipovič, D. 2003: Geographical factors of fertility. Acta geographica Slovenica 43-1. DOI: https://doi.org/10.3986/ags43104 DOI: https://doi.org/10.3986/AGS43104

Kapica, S. R. 2008: Očerk teorii rosta čelovečestva. Demografičeskaja revolucija i informacionnoe obšestvo. Moskva.

Kerbler, B. 2015: Population aging in Slovenia: A spatial perspective. Acta geographica Slovenica 55-2. DOI: https://doi.org/10.3986/AGS.1885 DOI: https://doi.org/10.3986/AGS.1885

Lesne, A. 2014: Shannon entropy: A rigorous notion at the crossroads between probability, information theory, dynamical systems and statistical physics. Mathematical Structures in Computer Science 24-3. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1017/s0960129512000783 DOI: https://doi.org/10.1017/S0960129512000783

Li, G., Zhao, D., Xu, Y., Kuo, H., Xu, Y., Hu, N., Zhao, G. et al. 2015: Entropy based modelling for estimating demographic trends. PLoS ONE 10-9. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0137324 DOI: https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0137324

Macura, M. 1997: Razmišljanja povodom osnova demografske teorije. Beograd.

Marinković, I., Radivojević, B. 2016: Mortality trends and depopulation in Serbia. Geographica Pannonica 20-4. DOI: https://doi.org/10.5937/GeoPan1604220M DOI: https://doi.org/10.5937/GeoPan1604220M

Marius, D. P., Lenart A., Canudas-Romo V. 2019: The maximum entropy mortality model: Forecasting mortality using statistical moments. Scandinavian Actuarial Journal 8. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1080/03461238.2019.1596974 DOI: https://doi.org/10.1080/03461238.2019.1596974

Medvedkov, Y. V. 1967: The concept of entropy in settlement pattern analysis. Papers of the Regional Science Association 18. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/BF01940320 DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/BF01940320

Natural changes of population in the Republic of Serbia. Statistical Office of the Republic of Serbia. Belgrade, 2012.

Nikitović, V. 2017: Zašto je potrebna nova paradigma populacione politike u Srbiji? Knjiga sažetaka sa okruglog stola Poruke demografa kreatorima javnih politika u Srbiji. Beograd.

Nikitović, V. 2019: U susret regionalnoj depopulaciji u Srbiji. Beograd.

Penev, G. D., Predojević-Despić, J. R. 2019: The population change in Serbia in the post-Yugoslav period (1991–2017): Significant demographic aspects. Sociološki pregled 53-3. DOI: https://doi.org/10.5937/socpreg53-21902 DOI: https://doi.org/10.5937/socpreg53-21902

Purvis, B., Mao, Y., Darren, R. 2019: Entropy and its application to urban systems. Entropy 21. DOI: https://doi.org/10.3390/e21010056 DOI: https://doi.org/10.3390/e21010056

Radovanović, M. V. 1987: Geografija kao fundamentalna nauka o geosistemima. Beograd.

Radovanović, M. V. 1988: Stanovništvo kao autonomni biosocijalni i geografski sistem. Zbornik radova GIJC 40.

Rudnicki R., Łoskot, K. 1991: Relative entropy and stability of stochastic semigroups. Annales Polonici Mathematici, 53-2. DOI: https://doi.org/10.4064/ap-53-2-139-145

Rudnicki, R. 2023: Dynamika populacyjna. Katowice.

Saopštenje SN40, 171. Statistical Office of the Republic of Serbia. Belgrade, 2022.

Shannon, C. 1948: A mathematical theory of communication. The Bell System Technical Journal 27. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1002/j.1538-7305.1948.tb00917.x

Sonis, M. G. 1968: Značenie entropijnyh mer odnorodnosti dlja analiza pereraspredelenij naselenija. Matematika v Ekonomicheskoi Geografii. Voprosy Geografii 77.

Spasovski, M., Šantić, D. 2013: Development of population geography from anthropogeography to spatial-analytical approach. Stanovništvo 51. DOI: https://doi.org/102298/STNV1302001S DOI: https://doi.org/10.2298/STNV1302001S

Vasić, P. 2019: Lokalna samouprava i politika prema rađanju – analiza demografskih i socioekonomskih pokazatelja. Demografija 16.

Vasilevski, L. I., Polan, P. M. 1978: Sistemno-strukturny podhod i ekonomičeska geografia. Moskva.

Vojković, G. 2007: Population as an element of regionalization of Serbia. Belgrade.

Vojković, G., Kokotović-Kanazir, Bakić, D. 2022: Ka boljem razumevanju demografskih dispariteta u Srbiji. Beograd.

Wilson, A. 2010: Entropy in urban and regional modelling: Retrospect and prospect. Geographical Analysis 42-4. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1538-4632.2010.00799.x DOI: https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1538-4632.2010.00799.x

Wilson, A. G. 1970: Entropy in urban and regional modelling. London.

Zborowski, A. 1985: Analiza komponentów wzrostu ludności miejskiej za pomocą miar entropii. Prace Geograficzne 62.

Živanović, U. 2013: Razlike u fertilitetu stanovništva gradskih i ostalih naselja Srbije. Demografija 10.

Objavljeno

2024-01-01

Kako citirati

Grčić, M., Sibinović, M., Ratkaj, I. 2024: Entropija kot kazalnik demografske dinamike: študija primera prebivalstva Srbije. Acta geographica Slovenica 64-1. https://doi.org/10.3986/AGS.11441

Številka

Rubrike

Articles