Application of a mass movement susceptibility model in the heterogeneous Miocene clastic successions of the Slovenj Gradec Basin, northeast Slovenia
DOI:
https://doi.org/10.3986/AGS.7040Keywords:
Miocene, landslides, rockfalls, mass movement process modeling, heterogeneous lithology, SloveniaAbstract
In Slovenia, mass movements are not only a threat to the population, but also a major environmental and social science challenge. Lithologically heterogeneous areas have been found to be problematic, and the Miocene Slovenj Gradec basin (in northeast Slovenia) is one such area. For this area, we developed landslide and rockfall susceptibility maps based on detailed geological research combined with statistical modeling schemes. Crucial factors include lithological composition, land use, geological structural elements, slope curvature, aspect and inclination, and bed dipping. The approach taken in the development of mass movement susceptibility maps presented here is transferable to other areas defined by heterogeneous lithology. Such maps could prove useful spatial planning, forestry, environmental protection, landscape architecture, and other fields.
Downloads
References
Bavec, M., Budkovič, T., Komac, M. 2005: Geohazard – geološko pogojena nevarnost zaradi procesov pobočnega premikanja. Primer občine Bovec. Geologija 48-2. DOI: https://doi.org/10.5474/geologija.2005.025
Bavec, M., Čarman, M., Krivic, M., Kumelj, Š., Požar, M., Komac, M., Šinigoj, J., Rižnar, I., Jurkovšek, B., Trajanova, M., Poljak, M., Celarc, B., Demšar, M., Milanič, B., Mahne, M., Otrin, J., Čertalič, S., Štih, J., Hrvatin, M. 2012a: Izdelava prostorske baze podatkov in spletnega informacijskega sistema geološko pogojenih nevarnosti zaradi procesov pobočnega premikanja, erozijskih kart ter kart snežnih plazov, Občina Velenje. Geološki zavod Slovenije. Ljubljana.
Bavec, M., Čarman, M., Krivic, M., Kumelj, Š., Požar, M., Komac, M., Šinigoj, J., Rižnar, I., Jurkovšek, B., Trajanova, M., Poljak, M., Celarc, B., Demšar, M., Milanič, B., Mahne, M., Otrin, J., Čertalič, S., Štih, J., Hrvatin, M. 2012b: Izdelava prostorske baze podatkov in spletnega informacijskega sistema geološko pogojenih nevarnosti zaradi procesov pobočnega premikanja, erozijskih kart ter kart snežnih plazov, Občina Slovenj Gradec. Geološki zavod Slovenije. Ljubljana.
Blahut, J., Van Westen, C. J., Sterlacchini, S. 2010: Analysis of landslide inventories for accurate prediction of debris-flow source areas. Geomorphology 119, 1-2. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.geomorph.2010.02.017
Böhme, M., Derron, M.-H., Jaboyedoff, M. 2014: Quantitative spatial analysis of rockfalls from road inventories: a combined statistical and physical susceptibility model. Natural Hazards and Earth System Sciences Discussions 2. DOI: https://doi.org/10.5194/nhessd-2-81-2014
Buser, S. 2009: Geološka karta Slovenije 1 : 250.000. Geološki zavod Slovenije. Ljubljana.
Carrara, A., Cardinali, M., Detti, R., Guzzetti, F., Pasqui, V., Reichenbach, P. 1991: GIS Techniques and statistical models in evaluating landslide hazard. Earth Surface Processes and Landform 16-5. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1002/esp.3290160505
Carrara, A., Cardinali, M., Guzzetti, F., Reichenbach, P. 1995: GIS technology in mapping landslide hazard. Geographical Information Systems in Assessing Natural Hazards. Dordrecht. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/978-94-015-8404-3_8
Esri. ArcGIS Desktop Help. ESRI, 2006.
Fidej, G., Mikoš, M., Jež, J., Kumelj, Š., Diaci, J. 2018: Presoja varovalnega učinka gozda pred drobirskimi tokovi. Gozdarski vestnik 76-4.
Guzzetti, F., Carrara, A., Cardinali, M., Reichenbach, P. 1999: Landslide hazard evaluation: a review of current techniques and their application in a multi-scale study, Central Italy. Geomorphology 31, 1-4. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/S0169-555X(99)00078-1
Guzzetti F., Reichenbach, P., Ardizzone, F., Cardinali, M., Galliet, M. 2006: Estimating the quality of landslide susceptibility models. Geomorphology 81, 1-2. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.geomorph.2006.04.007
Ivančič, K., Trajanova, M., Skaberne, D., Šmuc A. 2018: Provenance of the Miocene Slovenj Gradec Basin sedimentary fill, Western Central Paratethys. Sedimentary Geology 375. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.sedgeo.2017.11.002
Jemec Auflič, M., Jež, J., Popit, T., Košir, A., Maček, M., Logar, J., Petkovšek, A., Mikoš, M., Calligaris, C., Boccali, C., Zini, L., Reitner, J., Verbovšek, T. 2017: The variety of landslide forms in Slovenia and its immediate NW surroundings. Landslides 14-4. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/s10346-017-0848-1
Komac, M. 2003a: Geohazard map of the central Slovenia – the mathematical approach to landslide prediction. Geologija 46-2.
Komac, M. 2003b: Landslide hazard prediction with analysis of satellite images and other spatial data. Ph.D. Thesis, University of Ljubljana. Ljubljana.
Komac, M. 2005a: Verjetnostni model napovedi nevarnih območij glede na premike pobočnih mas – primer občine Bovec. Geologija 48-2. DOI: https://doi.org/10.5474/geologija.2005.022
Komac, M. 2005b: Landslide occurrence probability prediction with analysis of satellite
images and other spatial data. Geološki zavod Slovenije. Ljubljana.
Komac, M., Ribičič, M. 2006: Landslide susceptibility map of Slovenia at scale 1 : 250,000. Geologija 49-2. DOI: https://doi.org/10.5474/geologija.2006.022
Komac, M., Hribernik, K. 2015: Slovenian national landslide database as a basis for statistical assessment of landslide phenomena in Slovenia. Geomorphology 249. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.geomorph.2015.02.005
Komac, M., Jež, J. 2018: TXT-tool 1-20 Landslide susceptibility assessment method. Landslide dynamics: ISDR-ICL landslide interactive teaching tools 1: Fundamentals, mapping and monitoring. Cham. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-319-57774-6_9
Komac, M., Kumelj, Š., Krajnik, M. 2012: Izdelava lokalnega/regionalnega načrta preprečevanja tveganj pred naravnimi in drugimi nesrečami za Severno Primorsko (Goriška statistična regija) za primer izbranih nesreč: (zemeljski) plazovi, poplave, potres, požar v naravi in ujma / burja. Geološki zavod Slovenije. Ljubljana.
Kumelj, Š., Jež, J., Milanič, B., Bavec, M. 2014: Zvornik municipality (Republika Srpska) – Landslide susceptibility map. Internal report on methodology, Geološki zavod Slovenije. Ljubljana.
Lee, C.-T., Huang, C.-C., Lee, J.-F., Pan, K.-L., Lin, M.-L., Dong, J.-J. 2008: Statistical approach to earthquake induced landslide susceptibility. Engineering Geology 100, 1-2. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.enggeo.2008.03.004
Mikoš, M. 2000/2001: Značilnosti drobirskih tokov. Ujma 14-15.
Mikoš, M., Brilly, M., Ribičič, M. 2004: Landslides and floods in Slovenia. Acta hydrotechnica 22-37.
Mikoš, M., Brilly, M., Fazarinc, R., Ribičič, M. 2006: Strug landslide in W Slovenia: A complex multi-process phenomenon. Engineering Geology 83, 1-3. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.enggeo.2005.06.037
Mikoš, M., Fazarinc, R., Majes, B. 2007: Delineation of risk area in Log pod Mangartom due to debris flows from the Stože landslide. Acta geographica Slovenica 47-2. DOI: https://doi.org/10.3986/AGS47202
Mikoš, M., Majes, B. 2010: Mitigation of large landslides and debris flows in Slovenia, Europe. Landslides: Causes, types and effects. New York.
MOP – Ministrstvo za okolje in prostor: Geodetska uprava Republike Slovenije, Topografija: Javne informacije Slovenije. Ljubljana, 2018.
Pannatier, A., Oppikofer, T., Jaboyedoff, M., Stock, G. M. 2009: Rockfall susceptibility mapping of Yosemite Valley (USA) using a high-resolution digital elevation model. Geophysical Research Abstracts 11.
Perko, D. 1998: The Regionalization of Slovenia. Geografski zbornik 38.
Petschko, H., Brenning, A., Bell, R., Goetz, J., Glade, T. 2014: Assessing the quality of landslide susceptibility maps – case study Lower Austria. Natural Hazards and Earth System Sciences 14. DOI: https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-14-95-2014
Reichenbach, P., Rossi, M., Malamud, B. D., Mihir, M. Guzzetti, F. 2018: A review of statistically-based landslide susceptibility models. Earth-Science Reviews 180. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.earscirev.2018.03.001
Rossi, M., Guzzetti, F., Reichenbach, P., Cesare, A., Peruccacci, M. S. 2010: Optimal landslide susceptibility zonation based on multiple forecasts. Geomorphology 114-3. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.geomorph.2009.06.020
Shirzadi, A., Saro, L., Joo, O. H., Chapi, K. 2012: A GIS-based logistic regression model in rock-fall susceptibility mapping along a mountainous road: Salavat Abad case study, Kurdistan, Iran. Natural Hazards 64-2. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/s11069-012-0321-3
Stančič, Z., Veljanovski, T. 1998: Arheološki napovedovalni modeli in GIS. Geografski informacijski sistemi v Sloveniji. Ljubljana.
Stančič, Z., Veljanovski, T. 2000a: Understanding Roman settlement patterns through multivariate statistics and predictive modelling. Beyond the map. Washington.
Stančič, Z., Veljanovski, T. 2000b: Understanding Roman settlement patterns through multivariate statistics and predictive modelling. Geoarchaeology of the landscapes of Classical Antiquity. Leiden.
Tošić, R., Dragićević, S., Zorn, M., Lovrić, N. 2014: Landslide susceptibility zonation: a case study of the municipality of Banja Luka (Bosnia and Herzegovina). Acta geographica Slovenica 54-1. DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.3986/AGS54307
Veljanovski, T. 1999: Prostorsko modeliranje in napovedovanje lokacij arheoloških najdišč. B.Sc. Thesis, University of Ljubljana. Ljubljana.
Zorn, M. 2002: Rockfalls in Slovene Alps. Geografski zbornik 42.
Zorn, M., Komac, B. 2002: Pobočni procesi in drobirski tok v Logu pod Mangartom. Geografski vestnik 74.
Zorn, M., Komac, B. 2004: Deterministic modeling of landslide and rockfall risk. Acta geographica Slovenica 44-2. DOI: https://doi.org/10.3986/AGS44203
Zorn, M., Komac, B. 2007: Probability modelling of landslide hazard. Acta geographica Slovenica 47-2. DOI: https://doi.org/10.3986/AGS47201
Zorn, M., Komac, B. 2008: Zemeljski plazovi v Sloveniji. Georitem 8. Ljubljana.
Zorn, M., Komac, B. 2009: The importance of landsliding in a flysch geomorphic system: The example of the Goriška brda hills (W Slovenia). Zeitschrift für Geomorphologie 53-2. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1127/0372-8854/2009/0053S3-0057
Zorn, M., Komac, B. 2011: Damage caused by natural disasters in Slovenia and globally between 1995 and 2010. Acta geographica Slovenica 51-1. DOI: https://doi.org/10.3986/AGS51101
Zorn, M., Komac, B., Kumelj, Š. 2012: Mass movement susceptibility maps in Slovenia: The current state. Geografski vestnik 84-1.
Downloads
Published
How to Cite
Issue
Section
License
Copyright (c) 2020 Kristina Ivančič, Jernej Jež, Blaž Milanič, Špela Kumelj, Andrej Šmuc
![Creative Commons License](http://i.creativecommons.org/l/by-nc-nd/4.0/88x31.png)
This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial-NoDerivatives 4.0 International License.